Simulation · backtested on real prices · contracts on testnet, not mainnet
Basket/Tournament
Wallet
Season 1 · week 1 of 8Locked · paid unlock available · 07h 10m
[Method]

HOW IT IS MEASURED

The rules, the arithmetic behind them, and the things about this game we would rather you heard from us.

Ranking

Books are ranked on their own percentage growth, never on size. Ranking by value instead put the leader at +58,151% against a +149% median — the season was decided in week one. Percentage ranking gives a leader at +98.3% against +8.6%, which is a live ladder.

This is a game of chance

Week-over-week rank correlation is ρ = 0.031, and a top-half book stays top-half 51.7% of the time against 50% for a coin flip. A book that beat the field last week is no likelier to beat it next week. We make no claim of skill.

Nothing is deposited

Every book is $100,000 of paper. No tokenised stock is bought, held, or transferred on anyone's behalf, and no value moves between books. The only transactions you ever sign are a mint, a fee you chose to pay, and a claim if you win.

Elimination

278 books are cut each week on that week's return. Seven cuts leave 276 into the final week, which selects ten finalists ranked on their chained 8-week score — so every week you survived counts toward the payout.

How a week is scored

Positions that cannot lose, and why they are not allowed

A field scored on weekly percentage growth has one structural weakness: a book that cannot move beats every real portfolio in any down week, and so survives every cut without picking anything. Four versions of that were found and closed, and they are worth naming rather than hoping nobody looks.

What remains, and we would rather say it: low-beta index exposure is a strong strategy under these rules. SPY moved 1.70% a week against the field's 7.93%, and had a down week 40% of the time. That is real risk and a real trade-off, so it stays — but it is a genuine property of ranking on raw percentage growth, not an oversight.

Where the data comes from

About the board below the fold

Until the first Friday close there are no real results to show, so the board, the tape and the simulator render a backtest: 2,222 generated portfolios run over 41 trading days of real daily closes, 2026-06-24 2026-08-20. It is labelled as a simulation everywhere it appears and it is never blended with live standings — a table mixing simulated seats with real ones could not be checked against anything. One year is also one regime: a window containing a memory-stock melt-up is not evidence the design survives a flat or falling market.

The backtest charges no fees, no slippage and no spread. Real rebalancing costs money and this pays none of it.

What this is not

It is not an investment, a fund, or a security, and nothing here is financial advice or a solicitation. You are not buying exposure to any stock: the book is paper, and the seat entitles you to compete, not to any underlying asset. Prizes are funded by fees, and the team's share is fixed in the contract at 10% and cannot be raised after a season opens.

Ranking is computed and declared by the operator, not by a contract. Three things bound what that buys us: results are public the moment they are declared, the inputs are public so anyone can recompute them, and a timelock sits between declaring and paying so a false result can be seen before a cent moves. That is an honesty model, not a trustless one, and you should weigh it as such.

The seat contract is 0x9b30760f17CD2B989Db2c6128e3379e961B11852 on Robinhood Chain Testnet. See the desk for what a seat costs and what it does.

Backtest artifacts built Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:48:08 GMT.

The Basket Tournament